PuckCast Edge
Betting edges, stake sizing, props priced against the line, fantasy tiers and the graded ledger. $14.99 a month in season, or $99 for the year.
Tonight · 3 games
Tonight · 3 games locked in
Every NHL game gets a call, posted before puck drop and graded in public. 60.7% across 7,428 games over 6 seasons, every miss still on the page. Every pick is free. Nothing here gets deleted.
Model accuracy
60.7%
+7.0 pts vs baseline
Slate ready
3 games
Updated Sep 29, 6:34 PM ET
Tonight’s signal
Projected Power Index
Projected points from 20,000 simulated seasons. The live index, built from results, replaces this once games are played.
What makes PuckCast different
Three things most prediction sites skip entirely.
Confidence
Every game gets a grade from A through C by how far the model leans from a coin flip. A-grade picks have hit 75.7% historically. The grade tells you how hard to lean.
Goaltending
The model rates each team's goaltending after every game, from goals allowed against what a league-average goalie would have allowed on the same shots. It does not know tonight's starter, so a surprise backup is not in the number. The goalie pages show who is likely in net.
Accountability
We publish every projection before puck drop. Every result gets logged. You can see exactly where the model has been right and where it's been wrong. Nothing is hidden.
Latest from the blog
The model projects Buffalo for a division-best 104.2 points and a 20.9% chance to win the Atlantic, edging Tampa Bay. Full projected standings for all eight teams.
Read more →Explore PuckCast
Team pages with stats, rosters, standings, and model projections for every franchise.
League leaders, individual profiles, and season projections for all NHL skaters.
Historical accuracy, calibration charts, and confidence breakdowns for transparency.
DraftKings scoring projections, tier rankings, and DFS values for today's slate.
Model vs. market odds comparison with expected value analysis and Kelly criterion sizing.