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Win probabilities for tonight's games, power rankings, and advanced stats for every team and player in the league. Updated daily, tracked publicly.
Powered by a 158-feature logistic regression model validated on 6,560 games across 5 seasons. Not AI-generated.
Model accuracy
60.9%
+7.0 pts vs baseline
Slate ready
1 games
Updated May 18, 5:52 AM ET
Tonight's signal
What makes PuckCast different
Three things most prediction sites skip entirely.
Confidence
Every game gets a grade from A through C based on how far the model's probability diverges from the market. A-grade picks have hit 71.2% historically. The grade tells you how hard to lean.
Goaltending
Starting goalie is the single most predictive variable in hockey. We track each goalie's save quality over their last 10 starts and factor it into every projection.
Accountability
We publish every projection before puck drop. Every result gets logged. You can see exactly where the model has been right and where it's been wrong. Nothing is hidden.
Power Index
Weighted blend of point pace, goal differential, recent form, and road strength — who's outrunning their record and who's living off luck.
▲ Biggest riser
New York Rangers+11▼ Biggest slider
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Read more →Explore PuckCast
Team pages with stats, rosters, standings, and model projections for every franchise.
League leaders, individual profiles, and season projections for all NHL skaters.
Historical accuracy, calibration charts, and confidence breakdowns for transparency.
Deep dives on the model, methodology updates, and analysis of interesting matchups.
How PuckCast works, the team behind it, and the data sources that power every prediction.
